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Abstract The tropical Pacific climate has an outsized impact on global climate, yet future projections are poorly constrained. Data‐model comparisons from the mid‐Pliocene warm period (3.3 million years ago) can help investigate warm climate dynamics and evaluate model behavior. Here we compare proxy records to PlioMIP2 models and a model with modified cloud albedo. Relative to modern, the mid‐Pliocene warm period records show subsurface warming across the tropical Pacific, strong eastern Pacific surface warming and weak western Pacific surface warming. Using clustering analyses to group model behavior relative to the proxy data, we find the model cluster with the best fit with the proxy data has enhanced warming in mid‐latitude thermocline source water regions which connect to the equator through the ventilated thermocline. Our study shows tropical ocean heat content during the mid‐Pliocene warm period was higher than today and has broad implications for the ocean's ability to absorb anthropogenic heat.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available August 28, 2026
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White, Sarah M.; Ravelo, A. Christina; Polissar, Pratigya J. (, Geophysical Research Letters)
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Lynch‐Stieglitz, Jean; Polissar, Pratigya J; Jacobel, Allison W; Hovan, Steven A; Pockalny, Robert A; Lyle, Mitchell; Murray, Richard W; Ravelo, A Christina; Bova, Samantha C; Dunlea, Ann G; et al (, Paleoceanography)Abstract Much uncertainty exists about the state of the oceanic and atmospheric circulation in the tropical Pacific over the last glacial cycle. Studies have been hampered by the fact that sediment cores suitable for study were concentrated in the western and eastern parts of the tropical Pacific, with little information from the central tropical Pacific. Here we present information from a suite of sediment cores collected from the Line Islands Ridge in the central tropical Pacific, which show sedimentation rates and stratigraphies suitable for paleoceanographic investigations. Based on the radiocarbon and oxygen isotope measurements on the planktonic foraminiferaGlobigerinoides ruber, we construct preliminary age models for selected cores and show that the gradient in the oxygen isotope ratio ofG. ruberbetween the equator and 8°N is enhanced during glacial stages relative to interglacial stages. This stronger gradient could reflect enhanced equatorial cooling (perhaps reflecting a stronger Walker circulation) or an enhanced salinity gradient (perhaps reflecting increased rainfall in the central tropical Pacific).more » « less
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